Quantile regression is an advanced statistical technique that has gained significant attention in finance due to its ability to estimate conditional quantiles. While linear regression is widely used to model the relationship between two variables, it assumes a linear relationship between the dependent variable and the predictors. However, this assumption may not hold in many …
Unveiling Asymmetric Quantile Regression in Finance Read More »
In today’s fast-paced financial world, businesses require accurate and timely financial forecasting to make informed decisions. Multivariate time series forecasting has become a popular technique in finance to predict future values of multiple variables simultaneously. It is a statistical method that models the behavior of several interdependent variables over time, considering the historical data of …
Using Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Transformers in Finance Read More »
Regression analysis is a widely used statistical tool for predicting a continuous dependent variable based on one or more independent variables. However, traditional regression methods, such as linear and polynomial regression, can be sensitive to outliers and make incorrect predictions if the assumptions of normality and homoscedasticity are violated. To address these limitations, researchers have …
From Outliers to Inliers: Robust Non-Parametric Regression with Median-of-Means Read More »
Introduction Sovereign risk assessment is a critical component of modern finance, as it helps investors, analysts, and policy makers understand the potential risks and returns of investing in a particular country. In the past, sovereign risk assessment has been based on traditional methods such as credit ratings, macroeconomic indicators, and political risk analysis. However, with …
Assessing Sovereign Risk in the Age of Deep Learning Read More »
Introduction Inflation forecasting is a crucial task for policymakers and central banks as it helps in determining the appropriate monetary policy. The accuracy of inflation forecasting is of paramount importance, as it directly impacts the economy. In this blog post, we will compare the accuracy of dynamic factor analysis (DFA) and traditional methods in forecasting …
In recent years, Bayesian methods have gained popularity in the field of housing investment forecasting. These methods, which are based on Bayes’ theorem, allow for the incorporation of prior knowledge and uncertain parameters in the forecasting process. Two specific methods that have been widely used in this context are Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) and Factor-augmented …
